For-Hire Trucking Volume Index and Supply-Demand Balance Dip Below Neutral

The latest release of ACT’s For-Hire Trucking Index showed the Volume Index still in negative territory, below the 50 neutral mark, in December, at 48.1. The supply-demand balance turned down even further, hitting 44.3 on a seasonally-adjusted basis. 

“The volume softness was likely due in part to the unusual tariff-related inventory build that sat at near-port warehouses,” said Tim Denoyer, ACT Research’s Vice President and Senior Analyst. 

Regarding the supply-demand balance reading, Denoyer commented, “After tightening a bit in October, the November and December readings show the loosest industry supply-demand balance since April of 2016.” He added, “Both accelerating Class 8 tractor production and slowing freight growth are likely to loosen the supply-demand balance as we approach the 2019 contract rate season.” 

The December fleet purchase intentions reading indicated a drop in equipment demand, with 51.6% of respondents planning to buy trucks in the next three months, down from 64.1% (SA) in November. Denoyer noted, “After record orders last year, this series should rebound as long lead-time truck orders are built and hit the highways.” 

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